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Bathurst shift

Started by fordman, July 30, 2021, 08:13:34 AM

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Troy01505

Quote from: AlbertM on August 23, 2021, 10:25:19 AM
A single file rolling start for the 2nd leg would be better. Cars get one screaming lap exiting the pits. One lap behind the safety car then let loose.

I'd be happy with that.

abhibeckert

Quote from: Sonic on August 22, 2021, 06:05:54 PM
Quote from: fordman on August 22, 2021, 05:35:01 PM
Reading Alex Premat is coming over and has a travel exemption for the event, that tells me they are still aiming at running the event in Nov, with or without spectators.

and this right here is one good example of why the anti-vax/anti-lockdown folk get so riled up... they can't travel 5km to see family but bring a bloke halfway around the world for a car race...
You can't visit family, but you can travel as far as you want for work under the current rules as long as it's a job you can't do from home. Pretty difficult to drive a race car from home.

stevo qld

#122
Quote from: abhibeckert on August 25, 2021, 02:55:32 PM
Quote from: Sonic on August 22, 2021, 06:05:54 PM
Quote from: fordman on August 22, 2021, 05:35:01 PM
Reading Alex Premat is coming over and has a travel exemption for the event, that tells me they are still aiming at running the event in Nov, with or without spectators.

and this right here is one good example of why the anti-vax/anti-lockdown folk get so riled up... they can't travel 5km to see family but bring a bloke halfway around the world for a car race...
You can't visit family, but you can travel as far as you want for work under the current rules as long as it's a job you can't do from home. Pretty difficult to drive a race car from home.

I think you are wrong about the travel restrictions.


While we are at it, Tickford seem to be going to extraordinary lengths to import a former or almost former racing driver.

Is Alex Premat really better than some available drivers here in Australia with recent relevant driving experience in this type of car.


Maybe Tickford could save money by employing one of their former drivers with money to spare to buy a drive. She could even pose for an annual Truck Assist Calendar.  The Truck Assist car should be well back in the field considering it's main driver, so they may as well get truckies drooling. ;D ::) 8)
Everybody is a genius, but if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing it is stupid.
ALBERT EINSTEIN

Sonic

Quote from: abhibeckert on August 25, 2021, 02:55:32 PM
Quote from: Sonic on August 22, 2021, 06:05:54 PM
Quote from: fordman on August 22, 2021, 05:35:01 PM
Reading Alex Premat is coming over and has a travel exemption for the event, that tells me they are still aiming at running the event in Nov, with or without spectators.

and this right here is one good example of why the anti-vax/anti-lockdown folk get so riled up... they can't travel 5km to see family but bring a bloke halfway around the world for a car race...
You can't visit family, but you can travel as far as you want for work under the current rules as long as it's a job you can't do from home. Pretty difficult to drive a race car from home.

As noted below though, why bother importing a driver? We have more than enough talent in the Aussie pool. Prob getting away from the 'shift' though talking about the drivers?
philwisewould.zenfolio.com - check out the photos after race weekend!


stevo qld

It is not looking good for Bathurst this year if this is correct:

QuoteNew research shows that under the current settings, daily COVID-19 case numbers will continue to climb and could peak between 1,500 and 6,000 a day by early October.

Key points:
Modelling shows the outbreak will not peak for another six weeks
Cases could surge to 40,000 a day if the lockdown is abruptly lifted
In the month following, half a million people could become infected
The University of Sydney has used complex modelling to forecast the trajectory of the latest outbreak, factoring in the high infectiousness of the Delta variant, current lockdown settings and the progress of the vaccine rollout.

Using data available up until August 25, it found that if restrictions were fully lifted when 80 per cent of adults were vaccinated, infections could surge to 40,000 cases a day.

The modelling showed that in the following month, half a million people could become infected with the virus, even with continued testing, tracing, isolation, quarantine and international travel restrictions.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-08-26/covid-peak-in-nsw-still-six-weeks-away-modelling-shows/100411220
Everybody is a genius, but if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing it is stupid.
ALBERT EINSTEIN

fordman

Quote from: stevo qld on August 26, 2021, 10:53:16 PM
It is not looking good for Bathurst this year if this is correct:

QuoteNew research shows that under the current settings, daily COVID-19 case numbers will continue to climb and could peak between 1,500 and 6,000 a day by early October.

Key points:
Modelling shows the outbreak will not peak for another six weeks
Cases could surge to 40,000 a day if the lockdown is abruptly lifted
In the month following, half a million people could become infected
The University of Sydney has used complex modelling to forecast the trajectory of the latest outbreak, factoring in the high infectiousness of the Delta variant, current lockdown settings and the progress of the vaccine rollout.

Using data available up until August 25, it found that if restrictions were fully lifted when 80 per cent of adults were vaccinated, infections could surge to 40,000 cases a day.

The modelling showed that in the following month, half a million people could become infected with the virus, even with continued testing, tracing, isolation, quarantine and international travel restrictions.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-08-26/covid-peak-in-nsw-still-six-weeks-away-modelling-shows/100411220


Is this the same "modelling" that showed 25000 Aussies dead by Anzac Day last year????

fordman

#127
With so many "reports" and "modelling" doing the rounds it must be frustrating for any sporting body to predict or plan for events in the next 6 months.

Listening to the NSW Premiers plans for what happens when 70% Vax is reached it provides SC some sort of hope that A] the event could go ahead & B] possibly with spectators :o

What did she say?

She warned and advised business to prepare for operations utilizing the vaccine passport system. Advising they are working on a APP linked to the QR code that will advise vaccination status. She included in her statement sporting events and concerts could also make use of this.

It s planned to reach the magic 70% by Mid Oct. so if SC are ready it could work or if time is an issue move it back to Dec?

Seems there maybe hope for SC to run the event near capacity?

I still live in hope ;D

Trevor

'Modelling' suggests NSW will peak at over 2000 - 4000 new cases per day before things start to settle

Sonic

philwisewould.zenfolio.com - check out the photos after race weekend!

fordman


Joe5619

Quote from: fordman on August 27, 2021, 05:50:43 AM
Quote from: stevo qld on August 26, 2021, 10:53:16 PM
It is not looking good for Bathurst this year if this is correct:

QuoteNew research shows that under the current settings, daily COVID-19 case numbers will continue to climb and could peak between 1,500 and 6,000 a day by early October.

Key points:
Modelling shows the outbreak will not peak for another six weeks
Cases could surge to 40,000 a day if the lockdown is abruptly lifted
In the month following, half a million people could become infected
The University of Sydney has used complex modelling to forecast the trajectory of the latest outbreak, factoring in the high infectiousness of the Delta variant, current lockdown settings and the progress of the vaccine rollout.

Using data available up until August 25, it found that if restrictions were fully lifted when 80 per cent of adults were vaccinated, infections could surge to 40,000 cases a day.

The modelling showed that in the following month, half a million people could become infected with the virus, even with continued testing, tracing, isolation, quarantine and international travel restrictions.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-08-26/covid-peak-in-nsw-still-six-weeks-away-modelling-shows/100411220


Is this the same "modelling" that showed 25000 Aussies dead by Anzac Day last year????
Not a dig at you, but those doing the modelling.. Where do these morons come up with these "modelling"? When we get to 80% double jab, open the country back up for FFS.

If they delay the race to December, NSW will have very very high levels of vacation.. Capacity crowd here we come!! And sorry WA & QLD your governments want you locked in a bubble for ever so "no race for you"!!

Troy01505

That modelling is based on worst case scenario, basically a 3rd world country with a population that has weak immune systems and **** all healthcare available for them. Of Covid hit one of our traditional First Nation communities it would wipe them totally out.

As for Bathurst shift I think December will be good and add to the spectacle. It'll be hot and driver fatigue will come into it in the later stages of the race, a dark horse will win


AlbertM

Was thinking the same, the heat will sort the wheat from the chaff.  But it will be again, the well funded, the ones that have the best physical training programs that will come out on top.


That worst case scenario is being played out in Far West NSW. 80% is not a magic number. If case number are still high Millions of Aussies will still be at risk including a portion of the vaccinated.

Ford Faithful

fordman

Quote from: AlbertM on August 28, 2021, 09:56:44 AM
Was thinking the same, the heat will sort the wheat from the chaff.  But it will be again, the well funded, the ones that have the best physical training programs that will come out on top.


That worst case scenario is being played out in Far West NSW. 80% is not a magic number. If case number are still high Millions of Aussies will still be at risk including a portion of the vaccinated.

At 80% case numbers wont be the issue its the hospitalizations # that will be the focus. Plenty of evidence to show vaccinations are working even in NSW numbers of under 40's are highly represented in the case numbers as they are unvaccinated whereas the over 70s who are nearly 80% are bugger all because they ARE vaccinated. Theory being at 80% for all we will/should see same vases and even LES going to hospital.

I do hope SC do move to DEC it will give them more time to asses the situation and plan for a possible vax passport event.